Today / Samorin vs Zvolen

Samorin vs Zvolen Prediction

Friday, May 15, 2026

Samorin

PPG 1.14 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Zvolen

PPG 1.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.71) vs Home AVERAGE (1.14)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.9%0-111.4%0-28.2%0-33.9%0-4+1.9%1 1-08.7%1-112.5%1-29.0%1-34.3%1-4+2.1%2 2-04.8%2-16.9%2-24.9%2-32.4%2-4+1.2%3 3-01.8%3-12.5%3-21.8%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.9%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.0% — — —

Draw 28.4% — — —

Away win 41.5% — — —

Over 2.5 48.2% — — —

Over 3.5 25.0% — — —

BTTS 52.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 20%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob52.5%

A 42% / xG 1.1-1.4 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 0–0 7.9%

#3 0–1 11.4%

#4 1–2 9.0%

#5 0–2 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Samorin1.1

Zvolen1.4

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.2% · O3.5 PROB 25.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SAMORIN · PPG 1.14

ZVOLEN · PPG 1.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.71) vs Home AVERAGE (1.14)

Win probability 1X2

Samorin (H) 30.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Zvolen (A) 41.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Samorin face Zvolen on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Samorin a 30% chance, the draw 28% and Zvolen 42%, so Zvolen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Samorin and 1.4 for Zvolen (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Samorin are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.71 for Zvolen. This match finished 3-1.

Samorin vs Zvolen Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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