Today / Gyori ETO W vs Pecsi MFC W

Gyori ETO W vs Pecsi MFC W Prediction

Friday, May 15, 2026

Gyori ETO W
PPG 2.00 · HOME
0 – 3
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME
Pecsi MFC W
PPG 1.10 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=64.4%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-12.2%0-21.0%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-06.8%1-16.2%1-22.9%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-09.5%2-18.7%2-24.0%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.9%3-18.2%3-23.7%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-012.3%4+-111.3%4+-25.2%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 64.4%
Draw 21.6%
Away win 14.0%
Over 2.5 63.3%
Over 3.5 51.0%
BTTS 54.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-3
xG (home)2.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.6%

H 64% / xG 2.8-0.9 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 9.5%
#2 3–0 8.9%
#3 2–1 8.7%
#4 3–1 8.2%
#5 1–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gyori ETO W2.8
Pecsi MFC W0.9

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.3% · O3.5 PROB 51.0%

Form & verdict PPG

GYORI ETO W · PPG 2.00

PECSI MFC W · PPG 1.10

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=64.4%

Win probability 1X2

Gyori ETO W (H) 64.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Pecsi MFC W (A) 14.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gyori ETO W face Pecsi MFC W on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gyori ETO W a 64% chance, the draw 22% and Pecsi MFC W 14%, so Gyori ETO W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Gyori ETO W and 0.9 for Pecsi MFC W (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gyori ETO W are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.10 for Pecsi MFC W. This match finished 0-3.

PredictVantage

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