Today / Shanghai Port vs Zhejiang

Shanghai Port vs Zhejiang Prediction

Friday, May 15, 2026

Shanghai Port
PPG 1.67 · HOME
2 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Zhejiang
PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-15.7%0-22.9%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-010.2%1-110.6%1-25.5%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.5%2-19.9%2-25.2%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-05.9%3-16.2%3-23.2%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-04.2%4+-14.4%4+-22.3%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 51.4%
Draw 25.0%
Away win 23.6%
Over 2.5 59.4%
Over 3.5 33.3%
BTTS 54.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-2
xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.6%

H 51% / xG 1.9-1.0 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.6%
#2 2–1 9.9%
#3 2–0 9.5%
#4 1–0 10.2%
#5 0–0 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shanghai Port1.9
Zhejiang1.0

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.4% · O3.5 PROB 33.3%

Form & verdict PPG

SHANGHAI PORT · PPG 1.67

ZHEJIANG · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.20)

Win probability 1X2

Shanghai Port (H) 51.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 25.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Zhejiang (A) 23.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Shanghai Port face Zhejiang on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shanghai Port a 51% chance, the draw 25% and Zhejiang 24%, so Shanghai Port are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Shanghai Port and 1.0 for Zhejiang (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shanghai Port are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.20 for Zhejiang. This match finished 2-2.

PredictVantage

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