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Australia - Victoria NPL 2 logo Australia flag Australia - Victoria NPL 2 Regular Season - 13 John Cain Memorial Park· Melbourne Friday, May 15, 2026 10:30
Northcote City logo Northcote City PPG 2.60
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Bulleen logo Bulleen PPG 1.83
Away· +1.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.4%
Odds: 1.57 EV: -19.3%
Draw 25.0%
Odds: 4.00 EV: 0.0%
Away 23.6%
Odds: 4.33 EV: +1.3%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.1% Odds: 1.57 -24.5%
Over 3.5 24.9% Odds: 2.36 -24.7%
BTTS 52.1% Odds: 1.60 -16.6%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-0
4th 0-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Northcote City
1.58
Bulleen
0.95

Model Suggestion

BTTS -16.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -16.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+1.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.60) > Away GOOD (1.83)

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