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Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand logo Sweden flag Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand Södra Svealand - 8 Thursday, May 14, 2026 16:30
Sleipner logo Sleipner PPG 2.33
1-1 HIT CS2
Smedby logo Smedby PPG 2.00
Over3.5· +36.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.8%
Odds: 2.15 EV: -20.9%
Draw 23.3%
Odds: 3.80 EV: -6.9%
Away 39.9%
Odds: 2.65 EV: +5.7%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 69.8% Odds: 1.45 +1.2%
Over 3.5 63.6% Odds: 2.15 +36.7%
BTTS 66.7% Odds: 1.40 -6.6%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-2
2nd 1-1
3rd 1-2
4th 2-1
5th 2-3

Expected Goals (xG)

Sleipner
2.12
Smedby
2.25

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +1.2% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+36.7%)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.33) > Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

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