Lens vs Paris SG Prediction & Tips

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France - Ligue 1 Regular Season - 29 Stade Bollaert-Delelis· Lens Wednesday, May 13, 2026 19:00

Lens PPG 2.63

0-2 MISS

Paris SG PPG 2.13

Home· +22.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.3%

Odds: 3.20 EV: +22.6%

Draw 26.4%

Odds: 3.90 EV: +1.8%

Away 35.3%

Odds: 2.00 EV: -29.4%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.3% Odds: 1.55 -18.9%

Over 3.5 29.5% Odds: 2.35 -18.4%

BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.48 -19.2%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Lens

1.42

Paris SG

1.32

Model SuggestionBTTS -19.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -19.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+22.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5/Under 62%

BTTS/No 55%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -18.0%

Bet Hit 50% (16 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.63) > Away EXCELLENT (2.13)