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England - Premier League Wednesday, May 13, 2026 19:00 
Manchester City PPG 2.47 
Crystal Palace PPG 1.35
England - Premier League Wednesday, May 13, 2026 19:00 Manchester City PPG 2.473-0 HIT CS5
Crystal Palace PPG 1.35Away· +71.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 52.3% Odds: 1.40 -26.8%
Over 3.5 29.0% Odds: 2.00 -25.2%
BTTS 50.2% Odds: 1.93 -3.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 1-1 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 3-0 ✔
Expected Goals (xG)
Manchester City 1.98
Crystal Palace 0.73
Model Suggestion
Home -33.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -33.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+71.1%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+71.1%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.47) vs P(Home)=55.7%