Today / ZED FC vs Ghazl El M.

ZED FC vs Ghazl El M. Prediction

Wednesday, May 13, 2026

ZED FC

PPG 1.64 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ghazl El M.

PPG 0.93 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-024.1%0-113.8%0-23.9%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.5%1-111.7%1-23.3%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-08.7%2-15.0%2-21.4%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-02.5%3-11.4%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.4%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.9% — — —

Draw 42.8% — — —

Away win 22.3% — — —

Over 2.5 25.8% — — —

Over 3.5 5.6% — — —

BTTS 41.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob41.8%

H 35% / xG 0.9-0.6 / U2.5 26% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 24.1%

#2 1–0 20.5%

#3 1–1 11.7%

#4 0–1 13.8%

#5 2–0 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

ZED FC0.9

Ghazl El M.0.6

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 25.8% · O3.5 PROB 5.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ZED FC · PPG 1.64

GHAZL EL M. · PPG 0.93

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.64) > Away POOR (0.93)

Win probability 1X2

ZED FC (H) 34.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 42.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ghazl El M. (A) 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

ZED FC face Ghazl El M. on Wednesday, May 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives ZED FC a 35% chance, the draw 43% and Ghazl El M. 22%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.9 for ZED FC and 0.6 for Ghazl El M. (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, ZED FC are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 0.93 for Ghazl El M..

ZED FC vs Ghazl El M. Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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