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Latvia - Virsliga logo Latvia flag Latvia - Virsliga Regular Season - 12 Stadions Celtnieks· Daugavpils Wednesday, May 13, 2026 15:00
Daugavpils logo Daugavpils PPG 1.50
0-1 HIT CS3
RFS logo RFS PPG 3.00
Draw· +17.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 15.0%
Odds: 8.25 EV: +14.2%
Draw 25.9%
Odds: 5.00 EV: +17.7%
Away 59.1%
Odds: 1.28 EV: -24.3%
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.3% Odds: 1.48 -22.6%
Over 3.5 29.7% Odds: 2.20 -20.8%
BTTS 52.1% Odds: 1.80 -6.2%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-2
3rd 0-1
4th 1-2
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Daugavpils
0.87
RFS
1.88

Model Suggestion

Away -24.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -24.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+17.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%
O2.5/Under 61%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 56%
ROI -16.4%
Bet Hit 50% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs Home GOOD (1.50)

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