Today / Slovakia - I Liga - Women / Slovan B. W vs Bardejov W

Slovan B. W vs Bardejov W Prediction— Slovakia - I Liga - Women

Championship Group - 6 ·Wednesday, May 13, 2026, 15:00

Slovan B. W logo
Slovan B. W
PPG 2.64 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Bardejov W logo
Bardejov W
PPG 1.70 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 3.5

Combined xG of 5.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.4%0-10.4%0-20.2%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-01.9%1-11.8%1-20.9%1-30.3%1-4+0.1%2 2-04.3%2-14.1%2-21.9%2-30.6%2-4+0.2%3 3-06.5%3-16.2%3-22.9%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-025.6%4+-124.3%4+-211.5%4+-33.6%4+-4+1.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 74.8%
Draw 17.4%
Away win 7.8%
Over 2.5 78.8%
Over 3.5 79.4%
BTTS 58.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%
O2.5 74%
BTTS 52%
Score Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 74%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)4.5 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob58.6%

H 75% / xG 4.5-0.9 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–0 7.3%
#2 4–1 7.0%
#3 5–0 6.6%
#4 3–0 6.5%
#5 5–1 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slovan B. W4.5
Bardejov W0.9

COMBINED 5.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.8% · O3.5 PROB 79.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SLOVAN B. W · PPG 2.64

BARDEJOV W · PPG 1.70

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.64), Away GOOD (1.70) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Slovan B. W (H) 74.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 17.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Bardejov W (A) 7.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Slovan B. W face Bardejov W in Slovakia - I Liga - Women on Wednesday, May 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slovan B. W a 75% chance, the draw 17% and Bardejov W 8%, so Slovan B. W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.5 for Slovan B. W and 0.9 for Bardejov W (5.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-0. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slovan B. W are averaging 2.64 points per game versus 1.70 for Bardejov W.

PredictVantage

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