Today / Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Kholood

Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Kholood Prediction

Wednesday, May 13, 2026

Al Ahli Jeddah

PPG 2.63 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Al Kholood

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.63), Away AVERAGE (1.25) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-12.7%0-21.0%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-09.3%1-16.9%1-22.6%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.0%2-18.9%2-23.3%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.3%3-17.7%3-22.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-012.4%4+-19.2%4+-23.4%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 66.4% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 11.3% — — —

Over 2.5 60.1% — — —

Over 3.5 42.5% — — —

BTTS 52.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob52.1%

H 66% / xG 2.6-0.7 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0✓ 12.0%

#2 3–0 10.3%

#3 2–1 8.9%

#4 1–0 9.3%

#5 1–1 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Ahli Jeddah2.6

Al Kholood0.7

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.1% · O3.5 PROB 42.5%

Form & verdict PPG

AL AHLI JEDDAH · PPG 2.63

AL KHOLOOD · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.63), Away AVERAGE (1.25) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Al Ahli Jeddah (H) 66.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Al Kholood (A) 11.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Ahli Jeddah face Al Kholood on Wednesday, May 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Ahli Jeddah a 66% chance, the draw 22% and Al Kholood 11%, so Al Ahli Jeddah are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Al Ahli Jeddah and 0.7 for Al Kholood (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Ahli Jeddah are averaging 2.63 points per game versus 1.25 for Al Kholood. This match finished 2-0.

Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Kholood Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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