Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 63.3% Odds: 1.53 -3.1%
Over 3.5 53.0% Odds: 2.25 +19.3%
BTTS 62.5% Odds: 1.57 -1.9%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-1 ✘
2nd 1-1 ✘
3rd 3-1 ✔
4th 2-0 ✘
5th 2-2 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -3.1% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-3.1%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value MODERATE_HOME Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.88) > Away AVERAGE (1.12)