Vaduz vs Aarau Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Switzerland - Challenge League Regular Season - 35 Rheinpark Stadion· Vaduz Monday, May 11, 2026 18:15

Vaduz PPG 2.76

1-2 HIT CS5

Aarau PPG 2.12

Home· +27.3% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.9%

Odds: 2.50 EV: +27.3%

Draw 23.8%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -12.9%

Away 25.4%

Odds: 2.40 EV: -23.4%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.3% Odds: 1.50 -5.1%

Over 3.5 54.9% Odds: 2.20 +20.8%

BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.40 -11.8%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-2 ✘

4th 3-1 ✘

5th 1-2 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Vaduz

2.25

Aarau

1.66

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -5.1% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-5.1%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5/Under 93%

BTTS/No 79%

Score Hit 39%

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.76) > Away EXCELLENT (2.12)