Today / Austria - 2. Liga / Sturm Graz B vs A. Klagenfurt

Sturm Graz B vs A. Klagenfurt Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Regular Season - 26 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 12:30

Sturm Graz B

PPG 0.50 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

A. Klagenfurt

PPG 1.46 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.7% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.5%0-19.7%0-26.2%0-32.7%0-4+1.1%1 1-09.8%1-112.6%1-28.1%1-33.5%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.3%2-18.2%2-25.3%2-32.3%2-4+1.0%3 3-02.7%3-13.5%3-22.3%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.5%4+-21.0%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.0% 52.6% 1.90 -29.7%

Draw 26.5% 28.6% 3.50 -7.2%

Away win 36.5% 27.0% 3.70 +35.0%

Over 2.5 47.9% 55.6% 1.80 -13.8%

Over 3.5 26.2% 33.9% 2.95 -22.7%

BTTS 52.7% 59.9% 1.67 -12.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -31.5%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 20%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob52.7%

H 37% / xG 1.3-1.3 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 12.6%

#2 1–0 9.8%

#3 0–1 9.7%

#4 2–1 8.2%

#5 1–2 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sturm Graz B1.3

A. Klagenfurt1.3

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.9% · O3.5 PROB 26.2%

Form & verdict PPG

STURM GRAZ B · PPG 0.50

A. KLAGENFURT · PPG 1.46

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.46) vs Home POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

Sturm Graz B (H) 37.0%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -29.7%

Draw 26.5%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -7.2%

A. Klagenfurt (A) 36.5%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV +35.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sturm Graz B face A. Klagenfurt in Austria - 2. Liga on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sturm Graz B a 37% chance, the draw 27% and A. Klagenfurt 37%, so Sturm Graz B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Sturm Graz B and 1.3 for A. Klagenfurt (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sturm Graz B are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.46 for A. Klagenfurt. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +35.0%. This match finished 1-1.

Sturm Graz B vs A. Klagenfurt Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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