Rennes vs Paris FC Prediction & Tips

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France - Ligue 1 Regular Season - 33 Roazhon Park· Rennes Sunday, May 10, 2026 19:00

Rennes PPG 1.94

2-1 HIT CS2

Paris FC PPG 1.19

Away· +24.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.3%

Odds: 1.50 EV: -26.1%

Draw 25.6%

Odds: 4.45 EV: +8.3%

Away 25.1%

Odds: 5.60 EV: +24.3%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 1.50 -11.1%

Over 3.5 34.7% Odds: 2.20 -23.7%

BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.57 -7.7%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✔

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Rennes

1.78

Paris FC

1.20

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -11.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -11.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+24.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.94) > Away AVERAGE (1.19)