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France - Ligue 1 logo France flag France - Ligue 1 Regular Season - 33 Stade Louis II· Monaco Sunday, May 10, 2026 19:00
Monaco logo Monaco PPG 2.00
0-1 MISS
Lille logo Lille PPG 1.81
Draw· -1.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.3%
Odds: 2.40 EV: -10.5%
Draw 26.3%
Odds: 3.70 EV: -1.6%
Away 36.4%
Odds: 2.60 EV: -5.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.6% Odds: 1.62 -3.5%
Over 3.5 37.0% Odds: 2.60 -3.8%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.53 -10.0%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 2-1
4th 2-2
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Monaco
1.53
Lille
1.54

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -3.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -3.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

League Track Record

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%
O2.5/Under 62%
BTTS/No 55%
Score Hit 36%
ROI -18.0%
Bet Hit 50% (16 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away GOOD (1.81)

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