Metz vs Lorient Prediction & Tips

France - Ligue 1 Regular Season - 33 Stade Saint-Symphorien· Metz Sunday, May 10, 2026 19:00

Metz PPG 0.63

0-4 MISS

Lorient PPG 0.75

Over2.5· +0.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Home 27.7%

Odds: 3.15 EV: -7.6%

Draw 27.1%

Odds: 3.60 EV: -1.5%

Away 45.2%

Odds: 2.10 EV: -5.1%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Away ✔

Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 1.70 +0.8%

Over 3.5 33.0% Odds: 2.75 -9.3%

BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.57 -8.2%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-2 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Metz

1.21

Lorient

1.69

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +0.8% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5/Under 62%

BTTS/No 55%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -18.0%

Bet Hit 50% (16 bets)

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.63), Away POOR (0.75)