Auxerre vs Nice Prediction & Tips

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France - Ligue 1 Regular Season - 33 Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps· Auxerre Sunday, May 10, 2026 19:00

Auxerre PPG 1.19

2-1 HIT CS4

Nice PPG 0.75

Home· +4.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 44.9%

Odds: 2.32 EV: +4.2%

Draw 28.4%

Odds: 3.35 EV: -2.9%

Away 26.7%

Odds: 2.95 EV: -12.7%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.5% Odds: 1.90 -11.7%

Over 3.5 22.0% Odds: 3.25 -17.1%

BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.67 -12.7%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✔

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Auxerre

1.37

Nice

1.02

Model SuggestionBTTS -12.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -12.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+4.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5/Under 62%

BTTS/No 55%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -18.0%

Bet Hit 50% (16 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.19) > Away POOR (0.75)