Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 60.2% Odds: 1.42 -14.5%
Over 3.5 40.3% Odds: 2.00 -19.4%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.35 -20.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 1-2 ✘
4th 2-2 ✘
5th 2-0 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -14.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -14.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+25.9%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage MODERATE_HOME Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.11) > Away POOR (0.72)