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Bekescsaba vs Kozarmisleny Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Regular Season - 29 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 17:00

Bekescsaba

PPG 1.07 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Kozarmisleny

PPG 1.36 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.0% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.7%0-113.4%0-27.7%0-32.9%0-4+1.1%1 1-011.7%1-113.4%1-27.7%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-05.9%2-16.7%2-23.8%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-01.9%3-12.2%3-21.3%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.7%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.2% 51.3% 1.95 -31.4%

Draw 28.7% 30.8% 3.25 -4.0%

Away win 36.1% 30.3% 3.30 +19.1%

Over 2.5 45.8% 50.0% 2.00 -8.4%

Over 3.5 17.0% 28.6% 3.50 -24.3%

BTTS 51.0% 55.6% 1.80 -8.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -29.1%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob51.0%

D 29% / xG 1.0-1.1 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 11.7%

#3 0–1 13.4%

#4 1–0 11.7%

#5 0–2 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bekescsaba1.0

Kozarmisleny1.1

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.8% · O3.5 PROB 17.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BEKESCSABA · PPG 1.07

KOZARMISLENY · PPG 1.36

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.07), Away AVERAGE (1.36)

Win probability 1X2

Bekescsaba (H) 35.2%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -31.4%

Draw 28.7%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -4.0%

Kozarmisleny (A) 36.1%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +19.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bekescsaba face Kozarmisleny in Hungary - NB II on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bekescsaba a 35% chance, the draw 29% and Kozarmisleny 36%, so Kozarmisleny are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Bekescsaba and 1.1 for Kozarmisleny (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bekescsaba are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 1.36 for Kozarmisleny. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +19.1%. This match finished 1-2.

Bekescsaba vs Kozarmisleny Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

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