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Pesch vs Teutonia Weiden Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Mittelrhein - 26 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 13:45

Pesch

PPG 0.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Teutonia Weiden

PPG 0.45 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.7%0-11.9%0-22.5%0-32.1%0-4+2.5%1 1-01.7%1-14.4%1-25.7%1-34.9%1-4+5.9%2 2-02.0%2-15.2%2-26.7%2-35.7%2-4+6.9%3 3-01.5%3-14.0%3-25.2%3-34.4%3-4+5.3%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-14.0%4+-25.2%4+-34.5%4+-4+5.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.0% — — —

Draw 23.2% — — —

Away win 40.8% — — —

Over 2.5 78.8% — — —

Over 3.5 72.2% — — —

BTTS 66.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 59%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob66.7%

A 41% / xG 2.3-2.6 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.7%

#2 2–3 5.7%

#3 1–2 5.7%

#4 3–2 5.2%

#5 2–1 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pesch2.3

Teutonia Weiden2.6

COMBINED 4.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.8% · O3.5 PROB 72.2%

Form & verdict PPG

PESCH · PPG 0.50

TEUTONIA WEIDEN · PPG 0.45

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.50), Away POOR (0.45)

Win probability 1X2

Pesch (H) 36.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Teutonia Weiden (A) 40.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Pesch face Teutonia Weiden in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pesch a 36% chance, the draw 23% and Teutonia Weiden 41%, so Teutonia Weiden are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Pesch and 2.6 for Teutonia Weiden (4.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pesch are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 0.45 for Teutonia Weiden.

Pesch vs Teutonia Weiden Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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