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VfL Vichttal vs Porz Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Mittelrhein - 26 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 13:30

VfL Vichttal

PPG 2.45 · HOME

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O3.5

Porz

PPG 0.92 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 3.5

Combined xG of 5.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.3%0-10.5%0-20.4%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-01.4%1-12.2%1-21.7%1-30.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-02.9%2-14.5%2-23.4%2-31.8%2-4+0.9%3 3-04.0%3-16.2%3-24.8%3-32.4%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-012.8%4+-119.7%4+-215.1%4+-37.7%4+-4+4.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.0% — — —

Draw 20.5% — — —

Away win 14.5% — — —

Over 2.5 78.8% — — —

Over 3.5 81.8% — — —

BTTS 64.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 70%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)4.2 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob64.9%

H 65% / xG 4.2-1.5 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 65%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–1 6.4%

#2 3–1 6.2%

#3 5–1 5.4%

#4 4–2 4.9%

#5 3–2 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

VfL Vichttal4.2

Porz1.5

COMBINED 5.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.8% · O3.5 PROB 81.8%

Form & verdict PPG

VFL VICHTTAL · PPG 2.45

PORZ · PPG 0.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.45), Away POOR (0.92) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

VfL Vichttal (H) 65.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Porz (A) 14.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

VfL Vichttal face Porz in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives VfL Vichttal a 65% chance, the draw 21% and Porz 14%, so VfL Vichttal are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.2 for VfL Vichttal and 1.5 for Porz (5.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-1. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, VfL Vichttal are averaging 2.45 points per game versus 0.92 for Porz. This match finished 3-3.

VfL Vichttal vs Porz Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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