Today / Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein / Fortuna Koln B vs Bornheim

Fortuna Koln B vs Bornheim Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Mittelrhein - 26 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 13:30

Fortuna Koln B

PPG 1.42 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Bornheim

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.42), Away AVERAGE (1.17)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-12.7%0-22.4%0-31.4%0-4+1.0%1 1-03.7%1-16.5%1-25.8%1-33.5%1-4+2.3%2 2-04.4%2-17.8%2-27.0%2-34.2%2-4+2.8%3 3-03.5%3-16.3%3-25.6%3-33.3%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-16.6%4+-25.9%4+-33.5%4+-4+2.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.7% — — —

Draw 24.1% — — —

Away win 26.2% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 60.2% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob63.0%

H 50% / xG 2.4-1.8 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.8%

#2 1–1 6.5%

#3 2–2 7.0%

#4 3–1 6.3%

#5 1–2 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fortuna Koln B2.4

Bornheim1.8

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 60.2%

Form & verdict PPG

FORTUNA KOLN B · PPG 1.42

BORNHEIM · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.42), Away AVERAGE (1.17)

Win probability 1X2

Fortuna Koln B (H) 49.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bornheim (A) 26.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fortuna Koln B face Bornheim in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fortuna Koln B a 50% chance, the draw 24% and Bornheim 26%, so Fortuna Koln B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Fortuna Koln B and 1.8 for Bornheim (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fortuna Koln B are averaging 1.42 points per game versus 1.17 for Bornheim. This match finished 0-3.

Fortuna Koln B vs Bornheim Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

More Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein Predictions