Nottm Forest vs Newcastle Utd Prediction & Tips

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England - Premier League Regular Season - 36 City Ground· Nottingham Sunday, May 10, 2026 13:00

Nottm Forest PPG 1.06

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Newcastle Utd PPG 0.94

Home· +0.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 39.4%

Odds: 2.55 EV: +0.5%

Draw 28.3%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -0.6%

Away 32.3%

Odds: 2.55 EV: -17.6%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.5% Odds: 1.70 -20.9%

Over 3.5 23.7% Odds: 2.75 -20.9%

BTTS 52.8% Odds: 1.57 -17.1%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Nottm Forest

1.31

Newcastle Utd

1.17

Model SuggestionBTTS -17.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -17.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+0.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.06), Away POOR (0.94)