Hertha Berlin vs Greuther Furth Prediction & Tips

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Germany - 2. Bundesliga Regular Season - 33 Olympiastadion· Berlin Sunday, May 10, 2026 11:30

Hertha Berlin PPG 1.25

2-1 HIT CS2

Greuther Furth PPG 0.88

Draw· +3.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.3%

Odds: 1.83 EV: -9.8%

Draw 25.6%

Odds: 4.10 EV: +3.0%

Away 25.1%

Odds: 3.55 EV: -6.5%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 1.44 -14.6%

Over 3.5 34.8% Odds: 2.10 -26.9%

BTTS 57.4% Odds: 1.42 -18.5%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✔

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Hertha Berlin

1.84

Greuther Furth

1.13

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -14.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -14.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+3.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.25) > Away POOR (0.88)