Piast Gliwice vs Katowice Prediction & Tips

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Poland - Ekstraklasa Regular Season - 32 Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach· Gliwice Sunday, May 10, 2026 10:15

Piast Gliwice PPG 1.40

0-0 HIT CS2

Katowice PPG 1.00

Away· +7.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.3%

Odds: 2.16 EV: -19.4%

Draw 26.8%

Odds: 3.60 EV: -2.1%

Away 35.9%

Odds: 3.00 EV: +7.7%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.8% Odds: 1.65 -12.9%

Over 3.5 27.7% Odds: 2.65 -16.0%

BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.55 -15.4%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✔

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Piast Gliwice

1.38

Katowice

1.28

Model SuggestionBTTS -15.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -15.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+7.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5/Under 60%

BTTS/No 55%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -16.8%

Bet Hit 44% (18 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)