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Poland - Ekstraklasa
Regular Season - 32
Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla· Zabrze
Saturday, May 9, 2026
18:15
Gornik Zabrze
PPG 2.07
0-2
MISS
Zaglebie Lubin
PPG 1.20
Away· +14.2%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
47.3%
Odds: 1.69
EV: -20.1%
Draw
27.2%
Odds: 3.65
EV: -0.4%
Away
25.5%
Odds: 4.85
EV: +14.2%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
46.5%
Odds: 1.95
-9.3%
Over 3.5
22.9%
Odds: 3.40
-13.3%
BTTS
52.3%
Odds: 1.90
-0.6%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
1-0
✘
3rd
0-0
✘
4th
2-0
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Gornik Zabrze
1.44
Zaglebie Lubin
0.99
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-0.6%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is -0.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Away (+14.2%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.07) vs P(Home)=47.3%