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Poland - Ekstraklasa logo Poland flag Poland - Ekstraklasa Regular Season - 32 Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla· Zabrze Saturday, May 9, 2026 18:15
Gornik Zabrze logo Gornik Zabrze PPG 2.07
0-2 MISS
Zaglebie Lubin logo Zaglebie Lubin PPG 1.20
Away· +14.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 47.3%
Odds: 1.69 EV: -20.1%
Draw 27.2%
Odds: 3.65 EV: -0.4%
Away 25.5%
Odds: 4.85 EV: +14.2%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.5% Odds: 1.95 -9.3%
Over 3.5 22.9% Odds: 3.40 -13.3%
BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.90 -0.6%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-0
4th 2-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Gornik Zabrze
1.44
Zaglebie Lubin
0.99

Model Suggestion

BTTS -0.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -0.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+14.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.07) vs P(Home)=47.3%

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