Today / Germany - 3. Liga / Schweinfurt vs Hansa Rostock

Schweinfurt vs Hansa Rostock Prediction— Germany - 3. Liga

Regular Season - 34 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 12:00

Schweinfurt

PPG 0.88 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Hansa Rostock

PPG 1.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 80.3% vs bookmaker-implied 74.1% — a real, if thin, edge.

+8.4% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-17.4%0-210.7%0-310.3%0-4+15.0%1 1-02.0%1-15.8%1-28.3%1-38.0%1-4+11.7%2 2-00.8%2-12.2%2-23.2%2-33.1%2-4+4.5%3 3-00.2%3-10.6%3-20.8%3-30.8%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.2%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 7.2% 13.2% 7.60 -45.3%

Draw 12.5% 20.0% 5.00 -37.5%

Away win 80.3% 74.1% 1.35 +8.4%

Over 2.5 70.8% 69.0% 1.45 +2.7%

Over 3.5 49.7% 46.5% 2.15 +6.9%

BTTS 51.0% 61.7% 1.62 -17.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 4.5%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 70%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)2.9 BTTS prob51.0%

A 80% / xG 0.8-2.9 / O2.5 71% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 10.7%

#2 0–3 10.3%

#3 1–2 8.3%

#4 1–3 8.0%

#5 0–1 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Schweinfurt0.8

Hansa Rostock2.9

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 70.8% · O3.5 PROB 49.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SCHWEINFURT · PPG 0.88

HANSA ROSTOCK · PPG 1.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.88) vs Home POOR (0.88)

Win probability 1X2

Schweinfurt (H) 7.2%

ODDS 7.60 · IMPLIED 13.2% EV -45.3%

Draw 12.5%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV -37.5%

Hansa Rostock (A) 80.3%

ODDS 1.35 · IMPLIED 74.1% EV +8.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Schweinfurt face Hansa Rostock in Germany - 3. Liga on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Schweinfurt a 7% chance, the draw 13% and Hansa Rostock 80%, so Hansa Rostock are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Schweinfurt and 2.9 for Hansa Rostock (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Schweinfurt are averaging 0.88 points per game versus 1.88 for Hansa Rostock. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +8.4%. This match finished 0-0.

Schweinfurt vs Hansa Rostock Prediction— Germany - 3. Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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