Germany - 3. LigaRegular Season - 34Ludwigspark Stadion· SaarbrückenSaturday, April 18, 202612:00
SaarbruckenPPG 1.69
0-0MISS
1860 MunchenPPG 1.25
Away· +18.4%✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home37.3%
Odds: 2.10EV: -21.7%
Draw25.7%
Odds: 3.50EV: -10.1%
Away37.0%
Odds: 3.20EV: +18.4%
Model lean: BTTSNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.551.0%Odds: 1.75-10.8%
Over 3.528.9%Odds: 2.80-19.1%
BTTS55.1%Odds: 1.57-13.5%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st1-1✘
2nd1-0✘
3rd0-1✘
4th2-1✘
5th1-2✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Saarbrucken
1.36
1860 Munchen
1.35
Model Suggestion
BTTS-13.5%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -13.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Away (+18.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.69) > Away AVERAGE (1.25)