FC Ingolstadt vs Osnabruck Prediction— Germany - 3. Liga

Germany - 3. Liga Regular Season - 34 Audi Sportpark· Ingolstadt Saturday, April 18, 2026 12:00

FC Ingolstadt PPG 1.25

0-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Osnabruck PPG 2.06

Away· +3.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Ingolstadt face Osnabruck in Germany - 3. Liga on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Ingolstadt a 22% chance, the draw 25% and Osnabruck 53%, so Osnabruck are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for FC Ingolstadt and 1.7 for Osnabruck (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Ingolstadt are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 2.06 for Osnabruck. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +3.9%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 22.3%

Odds: 3.45 EV: -23.1%

Draw 24.5%

Odds: 3.70 EV: -9.3%

Away 53.3%

Odds: 1.95 EV: +3.9%

Model lean: Away

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.9% Odds: 1.67 -18.3%

Over 3.5 27.0% Odds: 2.70 -27.1%

BTTS 50.4% Odds: 1.57 -20.9%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✔

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 0-2 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Ingolstadt

0.97

Osnabruck

1.65

Model SuggestionAway +3.9% ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.06) vs Home AVERAGE (1.25)