Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin Prediction & Tips

Poland - Ekstraklasa Regular Season - 32 Chorten Arena· Bialystok Saturday, May 9, 2026 15:30

Jagiellonia PPG 1.60

3-2 MISS

Pogon Szczecin PPG 0.80

Draw· -1.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Home 49.3%

Odds: 1.84 EV: -9.3%

Draw 25.6%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -1.6%

Away 25.1%

Odds: 3.75 EV: -3.5%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 1.57 -6.9%

Over 3.5 32.9% Odds: 2.40 -21.0%

BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.50 -18.1%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Jagiellonia

1.79

Pogon Szczecin

1.11

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -6.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -6.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.60) > Away POOR (0.80)