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Hummetroth vs Eddersheim Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Hessen - 31 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 17:00

Hummetroth

PPG 1.54 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Eddersheim

PPG 1.87 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home weakness: GOOD (1.54) vs Away GOOD (1.87)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-14.0%0-24.5%0-33.4%0-4+3.2%1 1-03.2%1-17.2%1-28.0%1-36.0%1-4+5.7%2 2-02.8%2-16.4%2-27.1%2-35.3%2-4+5.0%3 3-01.7%3-13.8%3-24.2%3-33.2%3-4+3.0%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-12.5%4+-22.8%4+-32.1%4+-4+2.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.2% — — —

Draw 23.8% — — —

Away win 42.0% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 57.0% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob63.0%

A 42% / xG 1.8-2.2 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.2%

#2 1–2 8.0%

#3 2–2 7.1%

#4 2–1 6.4%

#5 1–3 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hummetroth1.8

Eddersheim2.2

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 57.0%

Form & verdict PPG

HUMMETROTH · PPG 1.54

EDDERSHEIM · PPG 1.87

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.54) vs Away GOOD (1.87)

Win probability 1X2

Hummetroth (H) 34.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Eddersheim (A) 42.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hummetroth face Eddersheim in Germany - Oberliga - Hessen on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hummetroth a 34% chance, the draw 24% and Eddersheim 42%, so Eddersheim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Hummetroth and 2.2 for Eddersheim (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hummetroth are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 1.87 for Eddersheim. This match finished 3-1.

Hummetroth vs Eddersheim Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Match Preview & Prediction

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