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England - Premier League logo England flag England - Premier League Regular Season - 36 Stadium of Light· Sunderland Saturday, May 9, 2026 14:00
Sunderland logo Sunderland PPG 1.71
0-0 HIT CS2
Manchester Utd logo Manchester Utd PPG 1.47
Home· +30.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...
48% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.3%
Odds: 3.60 EV: +30.7%
Draw 27.2%
Odds: 3.65 EV: -0.4%
Away 36.6%
Odds: 1.94 EV: -29.0%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.8% Odds: 1.73 -8.7%
Over 3.5 27.8% Odds: 2.80 -13.3%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.62 -11.6%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-2
4th 0-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Sunderland
1.25
Manchester Utd
1.41

Model Suggestion

BTTS -11.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -11.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+30.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5/Under 44%
BTTS/No 60%
Score Hit 44%
ROI -9.4%
Bet Hit 55% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...
48%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.71), Away AVERAGE (1.47)

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