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England - Premier League logo England flag England - Premier League Regular Season - 36 Craven Cottage· London Saturday, May 9, 2026 14:00
Fulham logo Fulham PPG 1.88
0-1 MISS
Bournemouth logo Bournemouth PPG 1.29
Home· +12.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.4%
Odds: 2.58 EV: +12.0%
Draw 26.3%
Odds: 3.55 EV: -4.0%
Away 30.3%
Odds: 2.48 EV: -24.9%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 1.62 -3.9%
Over 3.5 33.8% Odds: 2.55 -13.8%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.50 -11.8%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 0-0
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Fulham
1.59
Bournemouth
1.35

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -3.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -3.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+12.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5/Under 44%
BTTS/No 60%
Score Hit 44%
ROI -9.4%
Bet Hit 55% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.88) > Away AVERAGE (1.29)

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