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Waldgirmes vs Stadtallendorf Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Hessen - 31 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 13:30

Waldgirmes

PPG 1.13 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Stadtallendorf

PPG 1.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.5%0-18.3%0-27.5%0-34.6%0-4+3.2%1 1-05.8%1-110.5%1-29.6%1-35.8%1-4+4.0%2 2-03.7%2-16.7%2-26.1%2-33.7%2-4+2.6%3 3-01.5%3-12.8%3-22.6%3-31.6%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.2%4+-21.1%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.6% — — —

Draw 27.0% — — —

Away win 45.4% — — —

Over 2.5 59.9% — — —

Over 3.5 37.4% — — —

BTTS 58.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob58.8%

A 45% / xG 1.3-1.8 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 1–2 9.6%

#3 0–2✓ 7.5%

#4 0–1 8.3%

#5 2–1 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Waldgirmes1.3

Stadtallendorf1.8

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.9% · O3.5 PROB 37.4%

Form & verdict PPG

WALDGIRMES · PPG 1.13

STADTALLENDORF · PPG 1.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.71) vs Home AVERAGE (1.13)

Win probability 1X2

Waldgirmes (H) 27.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Stadtallendorf (A) 45.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Waldgirmes face Stadtallendorf in Germany - Oberliga - Hessen on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Waldgirmes a 28% chance, the draw 27% and Stadtallendorf 45%, so Stadtallendorf are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Waldgirmes and 1.8 for Stadtallendorf (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Waldgirmes are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 1.71 for Stadtallendorf. This match finished 0-2.

Waldgirmes vs Stadtallendorf Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Match Preview & Prediction

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