Today / Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday / VV Scherpenzeel vs Genemuiden

VV Scherpenzeel vs Genemuiden Prediction— Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday

Group A - 32 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 12:30

VV Scherpenzeel

PPG 1.80 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Genemuiden

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-17.2%0-25.7%0-33.0%0-4+1.7%1 1-06.9%1-110.9%1-28.6%1-34.5%1-4+2.6%2 2-05.2%2-18.2%2-26.5%2-33.4%2-4+1.9%3 3-02.6%3-14.1%3-23.2%3-31.7%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-12.2%4+-21.7%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.3% — — —

Draw 26.3% — — —

Away win 36.4% — — —

Over 2.5 59.8% — — —

Over 3.5 37.2% — — —

BTTS 58.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -53.7%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob58.8%

A 36% / xG 1.5-1.6 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 1–2 8.6%

#3 2–1 8.2%

#4 2–2 6.5%

#5 0–0 4.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

VV Scherpenzeel1.5

Genemuiden1.6

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.8% · O3.5 PROB 37.2%

Form & verdict PPG

VV SCHERPENZEEL · PPG 1.80

GENEMUIDEN · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.80), Away GOOD (1.80)

Win probability 1X2

VV Scherpenzeel (H) 37.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Genemuiden (A) 36.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

VV Scherpenzeel face Genemuiden in Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives VV Scherpenzeel a 37% chance, the draw 26% and Genemuiden 36%, so VV Scherpenzeel are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for VV Scherpenzeel and 1.6 for Genemuiden (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, VV Scherpenzeel are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 1.80 for Genemuiden. This match finished 4-0.

VV Scherpenzeel vs Genemuiden Prediction— Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday

Match Preview & Prediction

More Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday Predictions