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DOVO vs Huizen Prediction— Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday

Group A - 32 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 13:30

DOVO

PPG 1.93 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Huizen

PPG 0.73 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-14.2%0-22.4%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-08.0%1-19.1%1-25.2%1-32.0%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.6%2-19.8%2-25.6%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.2%3-17.0%3-24.0%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-05.5%4+-16.3%4+-23.6%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.0% — — —

Draw 26.3% — — —

Away win 22.6% — — —

Over 2.5 60.2% — — —

Over 3.5 41.9% — — —

BTTS 58.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -53.7%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob58.8%

H 51% / xG 2.2-1.1 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.1%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.6%

#4 3–1 7.0%

#5 1–0 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

DOVO2.2

Huizen1.1

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 41.9%

Form & verdict PPG

DOVO · PPG 1.93

HUIZEN · PPG 0.73

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.93) vs P(Home)=51.0%

Win probability 1X2

DOVO (H) 51.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Huizen (A) 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

DOVO face Huizen in Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives DOVO a 51% chance, the draw 26% and Huizen 23%, so DOVO are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for DOVO and 1.1 for Huizen (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, DOVO are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 0.73 for Huizen. This match finished 1-4.

DOVO vs Huizen Prediction— Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday

Match Preview & Prediction

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