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Eintracht F. B vs TuBa Pohlheim Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Hessen - 31 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 12:00

Eintracht F. B

PPG 3.00 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

TuBa Pohlheim

PPG 1.73 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-11.9%0-21.2%0-30.5%0-4+0.2%1 1-04.6%1-15.6%1-23.4%1-31.4%1-4+0.6%2 2-06.8%2-18.2%2-25.0%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.6%3-18.1%3-24.9%3-32.0%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-010.0%4+-112.2%4+-27.4%4+-33.0%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.4% — — —

Draw 21.2% — — —

Away win 19.4% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 59.6% — — —

BTTS 59.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob59.1%

H 59% / xG 2.9-1.2 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.2%

#2 3–1✓ 8.1%

#3 2–0 6.8%

#4 3–0 6.6%

#5 1–1 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eintracht F. B2.9

TuBa Pohlheim1.2

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 59.6%

Form & verdict PPG

EINTRACHT F. B · PPG 3.00

TUBA POHLHEIM · PPG 1.73

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=59.4%

Win probability 1X2

Eintracht F. B (H) 59.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

TuBa Pohlheim (A) 19.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Eintracht F. B face TuBa Pohlheim in Germany - Oberliga - Hessen on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eintracht F. B a 59% chance, the draw 21% and TuBa Pohlheim 19%, so Eintracht F. B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Eintracht F. B and 1.2 for TuBa Pohlheim (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eintracht F. B are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.73 for TuBa Pohlheim. This match finished 3-1.

Eintracht F. B vs TuBa Pohlheim Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Match Preview & Prediction

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