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England - Premier League logo England flag England - Premier League Regular Season - 33 Brentford Community Stadium· London Saturday, April 18, 2026 11:30
Brentford logo Brentford PPG 1.69
0-0 MISS
Fulham logo Fulham PPG 0.94
Home· +20.9% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 58.7%
Odds: 2.06 EV: +20.9%
Draw 21.1%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -24.0%
Away 20.2%
Odds: 3.25 EV: -34.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.8% Odds: 1.73 +5.2%
Over 3.5 38.5% Odds: 2.80 +7.8%
BTTS 58.2% Odds: 1.62 -5.7%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Brentford
2.03
Fulham
1.11

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +5.2% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Home(+20.9%)

League Track Record

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5/Under 44%
BTTS/No 60%
Score Hit 44%
ROI -9.4%
Bet Hit 55% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.69) > Away POOR (0.94)

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