RW Essen vs Verl Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Germany - 3. Liga Regular Season - 37 Stadion an der Hafenstrasse· Essen Saturday, May 9, 2026 12:00

RW Essen PPG 2.06

1-0 MISS

Verl PPG 1.33

Over3.5· +6.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.6%

Odds: 2.45 EV: -5.4%

Draw 25.7%

Odds: 3.90 EV: +0.1%

Away 35.6%

Odds: 2.45 EV: -12.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.7% Odds: 1.36 -16.1%

Over 3.5 55.8% Odds: 1.91 +6.6%

BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.30 -18.1%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 3-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

RW Essen

1.98

Verl

1.97

Model SuggestionBTTS -18.1% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-18.1%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.06) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)