Today / Germany - 3. Liga / Hansa Rostock vs VfB Stuttgart B

Hansa Rostock vs VfB Stuttgart B Prediction— Germany - 3. Liga

Regular Season - 37 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 12:00

Hansa Rostock

PPG 1.61 · HOME

5 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

VfB Stuttgart B

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 60.2% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-14.1%0-22.4%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-07.7%1-18.9%1-25.2%1-32.0%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.4%2-19.8%2-25.7%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.1%3-17.1%3-24.1%3-31.6%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-05.5%4+-16.4%4+-23.8%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.9% 61.7% 1.62 -17.5%

Draw 25.9% 23.8% 4.20 +5.3%

Away win 23.1% 21.1% 4.75 +5.8%

Over 2.5 60.2% 67.6% 1.48 -10.9%

Over 3.5 43.1% 46.5% 2.15 -7.3%

BTTS 58.8% 67.6% 1.48 -13.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 4.5%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-3

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob58.8%

H 51% / xG 2.2-1.2 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.9%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.4%

#4 3–1 7.1%

#5 1–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hansa Rostock2.2

VfB Stuttgart B1.2

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

HANSA ROSTOCK · PPG 1.61

VFB STUTTGART B · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.61) > Away POOR (0.83)

Win probability 1X2

Hansa Rostock (H) 50.9%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV -17.5%

Draw 25.9%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +5.3%

VfB Stuttgart B (A) 23.1%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV +5.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hansa Rostock face VfB Stuttgart B in Germany - 3. Liga on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hansa Rostock a 51% chance, the draw 26% and VfB Stuttgart B 23%, so Hansa Rostock are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Hansa Rostock and 1.2 for VfB Stuttgart B (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hansa Rostock are averaging 1.61 points per game versus 0.83 for VfB Stuttgart B. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +5.8%. This match finished 5-3.

Hansa Rostock vs VfB Stuttgart B Prediction— Germany - 3. Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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