Today / Germany - 3. Liga / Hansa Rostock vs VfB Stuttgart B

Hansa Rostock vs VfB Stuttgart B Prediction— Germany - 3. Liga

Matchday 37 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 12:00

Hansa Rostock

PPG 1.61 · HOME

LAST 5

DLDWW

5 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

VfB Stuttgart B

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLWLL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 65% chance

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 60.2% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-14.1%0-22.4%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-07.7%1-18.9%1-25.2%1-32.0%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.4%2-19.8%2-25.7%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.1%3-17.1%3-24.1%3-31.6%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-05.5%4+-16.4%4+-23.8%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.9% 61.7% 1.62 -17.5%

Draw 25.9% 23.8% 4.20 +5.3%

Away win 23.1% 21.1% 4.75 +5.8%

Over 2.5 60.2% 67.6% 1.48 -10.9%

Over 3.5 43.1% 46.5% 2.15 -7.3%

BTTS 58.8% 67.6% 1.48 -13.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 28%

ROI 16.0%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-3

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob58.8%

H 51% / xG 2.2-1.2 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.9%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.4%

#4 3–1 7.1%

#5 1–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hansa Rostock2.2

VfB Stuttgart B1.2

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

HANSA ROSTOCK · PPG 1.61

VFB STUTTGART B · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

65%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.61) > Away POOR (0.83)

Win probability 1X2

Hansa Rostock (H) 50.9%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV -17.5%

Draw 25.9%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +5.3%

VfB Stuttgart B (A) 23.1%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV +5.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hansa Rostock face VfB Stuttgart B in Germany - 3. Liga on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hansa Rostock a 51% chance, the draw 26% and VfB Stuttgart B 23%, so Hansa Rostock are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Hansa Rostock and 1.2 for VfB Stuttgart B (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hansa Rostock are averaging 1.61 points per game versus 0.83 for VfB Stuttgart B. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +5.8%. This match finished 5-3.

Hansa Rostock vs VfB Stuttgart B Prediction— Germany - 3. Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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