Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 59.7% Odds: 1.40 -16.4%
Over 3.5 37.1% Odds: 2.00 -25.8%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.50 -11.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✔
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 3-1 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -16.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -16.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+26.6%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B... HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.06) vs P(Home)=49.3%