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Germany - 3. Liga logo Germany flag Germany - 3. Liga Regular Season - 37 Städtisches Stadion an der Grünwalder Straße· Munich Saturday, May 9, 2026 12:00
1860 Munchen logo 1860 Munchen PPG 1.89
1-2 HIT CS3
FC Ingolstadt logo FC Ingolstadt PPG 1.28
Home· -0.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.4%
Odds: 2.30 EV: -0.2%
Draw 26.3%
Odds: 3.70 EV: -1.6%
Away 30.3%
Odds: 2.70 EV: -18.2%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 1.50 -11.1%
Over 3.5 36.7% Odds: 2.25 -17.4%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.40 -17.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 2-0
5th 2-2

Expected Goals (xG)

1860 Munchen
1.66
FC Ingolstadt
1.40

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -11.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -11.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.89) > Away AVERAGE (1.28)

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