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Germany - 2. Bundesliga logo Germany flag Germany - 2. Bundesliga Regular Season - 33 Holstein-Stadion· Kiel Saturday, May 9, 2026 11:00
Holstein Kiel logo Holstein Kiel PPG 1.38
1-3 MISS
Magdeburg logo Magdeburg PPG 1.19
Home· +36.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...
48% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.6%
Odds: 3.00 EV: +36.8%
Draw 26.9%
Odds: 3.90 EV: +2.9%
Away 27.5%
Odds: 2.10 EV: -25.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 1.45 -14.0%
Over 3.5 33.8% Odds: 2.15 -27.3%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.40 -17.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 2-0
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Holstein Kiel
1.65
Magdeburg
1.29

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -14.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -14.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+36.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...
48%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.38), Away AVERAGE (1.19)

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