Today / Germany - 2. Bundesliga / Braunschweig vs Dynamo Dresden

Braunschweig vs Dynamo Dresden Prediction— Germany - 2. Bundesliga

Regular Season - 33 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 11:00

Braunschweig

PPG 1.25 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Dynamo Dresden

PPG 1.06 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.3% vs bookmaker-implied 57.1% — a real, if thin, edge.

+3.8% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-18.6%0-26.7%0-33.5%0-4+1.9%1 1-07.4%1-111.5%1-29.0%1-34.6%1-4+2.6%2 2-05.0%2-17.7%2-26.0%2-33.1%2-4+1.7%3 3-02.2%3-13.4%3-22.7%3-31.4%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.5%4+-21.2%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.9% 39.2% 2.55 -11.0%

Draw 25.4% 29.0% 3.45 -7.4%

Away win 39.6% 39.2% 2.55 +1.0%

Over 2.5 59.3% 57.1% 1.75 +3.8%

Over 3.5 32.9% 35.7% 2.80 -7.9%

BTTS 58.8% 64.5% 1.55 -8.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -12.4%

Bet Hit 59%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob58.8%

A 40% / xG 1.3-1.6 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 1–2 9.0%

#3 2–1✓ 7.7%

#4 0–0 5.5%

#5 0–1 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Braunschweig1.3

Dynamo Dresden1.6

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.3% · O3.5 PROB 32.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BRAUNSCHWEIG · PPG 1.25

DYNAMO DRESDEN · PPG 1.06

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.25), Away AVERAGE (1.06)

Win probability 1X2

Braunschweig (H) 34.9%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV -11.0%

Draw 25.4%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -7.4%

Dynamo Dresden (A) 39.6%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV +1.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Braunschweig face Dynamo Dresden in Germany - 2. Bundesliga on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Braunschweig a 35% chance, the draw 25% and Dynamo Dresden 40%, so Dynamo Dresden are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Braunschweig and 1.6 for Dynamo Dresden (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Braunschweig are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.06 for Dynamo Dresden. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +3.8%. This match finished 2-1.

Braunschweig vs Dynamo Dresden Prediction— Germany - 2. Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Germany - 2. Bundesliga Predictions