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Bochum vs Hannover 96 Prediction— Germany - 2. Bundesliga

Matchday 33 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 11:00

Bochum

PPG 1.75 · HOME

LAST 5

LWDDW

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Hannover 96

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWDDD

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 63% chance

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.3% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-17.9%0-26.2%0-33.2%0-4+1.8%1 1-07.2%1-111.2%1-28.8%1-34.6%1-4+2.6%2 2-05.1%2-18.0%2-26.2%2-33.3%2-4+1.8%3 3-02.4%3-13.8%3-22.9%3-31.5%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.8%4+-21.4%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.1% 32.3% 3.10 +15.0%

Draw 26.4% 26.3% 3.80 +0.2%

Away win 36.5% 48.8% 2.05 -25.2%

Over 2.5 59.3% 64.5% 1.55 -8.1%

Over 3.5 34.9% 41.7% 2.40 -16.2%

BTTS 58.8% 67.6% 1.48 -13.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -10.2%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob58.8%

H 37% / xG 1.4-1.6 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 11.2%

#2 1–2 8.8%

#3 2–1 8.0%

#4 0–0 5.1%

#5 0–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bochum1.4

Hannover 961.6

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.3% · O3.5 PROB 34.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BOCHUM · PPG 1.75

HANNOVER 96 · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

Chance this pick lands

63%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Bochum (H) 37.1%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +15.0%

Draw 26.4%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV +0.2%

Hannover 96 (A) 36.5%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -25.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bochum face Hannover 96 in Germany - 2. Bundesliga on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bochum a 37% chance, the draw 26% and Hannover 96 37%, so Bochum are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Bochum and 1.6 for Hannover 96 (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bochum are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 2.00 for Hannover 96. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +15.0%. This match finished 1-1.

Bochum vs Hannover 96 Prediction— Germany - 2. Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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