← Back to picks
Australia - South Australia NPL logo Australia flag Australia - South Australia NPL Regular Season - 9 Adelaide City Park Saturday, May 9, 2026 09:30
Adelaide City logo Adelaide City PPG 2.33
2-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Campbelltown logo Campbelltown PPG 1.75
Over3.5· +15.1% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.2%
Odds: 1.80 EV: -9.6%
Draw 24.3%
Odds: 3.70 EV: -6.0%
Away 25.5%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -6.5%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 69.8% Odds: 1.33 -7.2%
Over 3.5 62.9% Odds: 1.83 +15.1%
BTTS 64.9% Odds: 1.33 -13.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-2
4th 3-1
5th 3-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Adelaide City
2.56
Campbelltown
1.78

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -7.2% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-7.2%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%
O2.5/Under 70%
BTTS/No 63%
Score Hit 23%
ROI -30.0%
Bet Hit 50% (8 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.33) > Away GOOD (1.75)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org