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Australia - Victoria NPL 2
Regular Season - 12
Saturday, May 9, 2026
08:30
Bulleen
PPG 1.80
0-0
HIT CS5
M. Srbija
PPG 0.50
Draw· -4.6%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
51.0%
Odds: 1.73
EV: -11.8%
Draw
26.4%
Odds: 3.50
EV: -4.6%
Away
22.6%
Odds: 3.80
EV: -8.5%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
53.1%
Odds: 1.57
-16.6%
Over 3.5
29.9%
Odds: 2.27
-19.3%
BTTS
52.3%
Odds: 1.50
-21.6%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
2-0
✘
2nd
1-1
✘
3rd
1-0
✘
4th
2-1
✘
5th
0-0
✔
Expected Goals (xG)
Bulleen
1.93
M. Srbija
0.83
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
-16.6%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -16.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.80) vs P(Home)=51.0%