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Australia - South Australia NPL logo Australia flag Australia - South Australia NPL Regular Season - 9 Saturday, May 9, 2026 06:45
Adelaide Utd B logo Adelaide Utd B PPG 1.33
1-6 MISS
NE MetroStars logo NE MetroStars PPG 2.00
Home· +5.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.1%
Odds: 3.00 EV: +5.3%
Draw 24.9%
Odds: 3.70 EV: -4.7%
Away 40.0%
Odds: 1.95 EV: -22.0%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.2% Odds: 1.40 -15.7%
Over 3.5 41.4% Odds: 1.91 -20.9%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.40 -17.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 2-1
4th 2-2
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Adelaide Utd B
1.54
NE MetroStars
1.73

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -15.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -15.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+5.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%
O2.5/Under 70%
BTTS/No 63%
Score Hit 23%
ROI -30.0%
Bet Hit 50% (8 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.33)

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