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Podbeskidzie vs Jastrzebie Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Regular Season - 31 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 15:00

Podbeskidzie

PPG 1.79 · HOME

UPCOMING

Jastrzebie

PPG 0.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in GOOD form (1.79), Away POOR (0.20) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-11.8%0-20.6%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-08.0%1-15.3%1-21.8%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.7%2-17.8%2-22.6%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.5%3-17.7%3-22.6%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-017.3%4+-111.6%4+-23.9%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 70.7% — — —

Draw 20.6% — — —

Away win 8.7% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 48.6% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -7.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 60%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob52.3%

H 71% / xG 2.9-0.7 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.7%

#2 3–0 11.5%

#3 4–0 8.4%

#4 2–1 7.8%

#5 3–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Podbeskidzie2.9

Jastrzebie0.7

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 48.6%

Form & verdict PPG

PODBESKIDZIE · PPG 1.79

JASTRZEBIE · PPG 0.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.79), Away POOR (0.20) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Podbeskidzie (H) 70.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Jastrzebie (A) 8.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Podbeskidzie face Jastrzebie in Poland - II Liga - East on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Podbeskidzie a 71% chance, the draw 21% and Jastrzebie 9%, so Podbeskidzie are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Podbeskidzie and 0.7 for Jastrzebie (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Podbeskidzie are averaging 1.79 points per game versus 0.20 for Jastrzebie.

Podbeskidzie vs Jastrzebie Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

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